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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Bayesian random effects meta-analysis of trials with binary outcomes: Methods for the absolute risk difference and relative risk scales
DE Warn, SG Thompson, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Statistics in medicine
(2002)
21,
1601
Surgical audit: Statistical lessons from Nightingale and Codman
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A Statistics in Society
(2002)
162,
45
Mortality and volume of cases in paediatric cardiac surgery: Retrospective study based on routinely collected data
DJ Spiegelhalter
– British Medical Journal
(2002)
324,
261
Mortality and volume of cases in paediatric cardiac surgery: retrospective study based on routinely collected data
DJ Spiegelhalter
– The BMJ
(2002)
324,
261
Being sceptical about meta-analyses: A Bayesian perspective on magnesium trials in myocardial infarction
JPT Higgins, DJ Spiegelhalter
– International Journal of Epidemiology
(2002)
31,
96
Analysis of Longitudinal Binary Data from Multiphase Sampling
D Clayton, D Spiegelhalter, G Dunn, A Pickles
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology
(2002)
60,
71
Bayesian graphical modelling: A case-study in monitoring health outcomes
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics
(2002)
47,
115
Bayesian stopping rules for trials [4] (multiple letters)
J Nicholl, S Goodacre
– The Lancet
(2002)
359,
76
Bayesian stopping rules for trials - Reply
MK Parmar, DJ Spiegelhalter, GO Griffiths, DG Altman, RL Souhami
– The Lancet
(2002)
359,
76
VIBES: A Variational Inference Engine for Bayesian Networks
CM Bishop, D Spiegelhalter, J Winn
– Nips 2002 Proceedings of the 15th International Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems
(2002)
777
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory