
Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk
Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment
Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.
Publications
Ranking institutions
– The Journal of thoracic and cardiovascular surgery
(2003)
125,
1171
(doi: 10.1067/mtc.2002.265)
Use of risk-adjusted CUSUM and RSPRT charts for monitoring in medical contexts
– Statistical methods in medical research
(2003)
12,
147
(doi: 10.1191/0962280203sm323ra)
Approximate cross-validatory predictive checks in disease mapping models.
– Statistics in medicine
(2003)
22,
1649
(doi: 10.1002/sim.1403)
Risk-adjusted sequential probability ratio tests: applications to Bristol, Shipman and adult cardiac surgery
– International journal for quality in health care : journal of the International Society for Quality in Health Care
(2003)
15,
7
(doi: 10.1093/intqhc/15.1.7)
WinBUGS Version 1.4 User Manual
(2003)
VIBES: A variational inference engine for Bayesian networks
– Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems
(2003)
Funnel plots for institutional comparison.
– Quality & safety in health care
(2002)
11,
390
(doi: 10.1136/qhc.11.4.390-a)
Bayesian analysis of population PK/PD models: general concepts and software.
– Journal of pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics
(2002)
29,
271
(doi: 10.1023/A:1020206907668)
Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology
(2002)
64,
583
(doi: 10.1111/1467-9868.00353)
Commissioned analysis of surgical performance using routine data: lessons from the Bristol inquiry
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A Statistics in Society
(2002)
165,
191
(doi: 10.1111/1467-985X.02021)
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