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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Bayesian analysis of population PK/PD models: General concepts and software
DJ Lunn, N Best, A Thomas, J Wakefield, D Spiegelhalter
– Journal of pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics
(2002)
29,
271
Bayesian Measures of Model Complexity and Fit
DJ Spiegelhalter, NG Best, BP Carlin, A Van Der Linde
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology
(2002)
64,
583
Commissioned analysis of surgical performance using routine data: Lessons from the Bristol inquiry
DJ Spiegelhalter, P Aylin, NG Best, SJW Evans, GD Murray
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A Statistics in Society
(2002)
165,
191
Bayesian random effects meta-analysis of trials with binary outcomes: methods for the absolute risk difference and relative risk scales.
DE Warn, SG Thompson, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Statistics in medicine
(2002)
21,
1601
Surgical Audit: Statistical Lessons from Nightingale and Codman
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A Statistics in Society
(2002)
162,
45
Mortality and volume of cases in paediatric cardiac surgery: Retrospective study based on routinely collected data
DJ Spiegelhalter
– British Medical Journal
(2002)
324,
261
Mortality and volume of cases in paediatric cardiac surgery: retrospective study based on routinely collected data
DJ Spiegelhalter
– BMJ (Clinical research ed.)
(2002)
324,
261
Being sceptical about meta-analyses: a Bayesian perspective on magnesium trials in myocardial infarction
JPT Higgins, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Int J Epidemiol
(2002)
31,
96
Analysis of Longitudinal Binary Data from Multiphase Sampling
D Clayton, D Spiegelhalter, G Dunn, A Pickles
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B Statistical Methodology
(2002)
60,
71
Bayesian graphical modelling: a case-study in monitoring health outcomes
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics
(2002)
47,
115
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory