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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

How old are you, really? Communicating chronic risk through ‘effective age’ of your body and organs
D Spiegelhalter
– BMC medical informatics and decision making
(2016)
16,
104
Cancer Drugs Fund requires further reform.
R Grieve, K Abrams, K Claxton, B Goldacre, N James, J Nicholl, M Parmar, C Parker, JS Sekhon, L Smeeth, D Spiegelhalter, M Sculpher
– The BMJ
(2016)
354,
i5090
The pros and cons of funnel plots as an aid to risk communication and patient decision making
T Rakow, RJ Wright, DJ Spiegelhalter, C Bull
– British journal of psychology (London, England : 1953)
(2015)
106,
327
Sex by Numbers
D Spiegelhalter
(2015)
Patient reactions to a web-based cardiovascular risk calculator in type 2 diabetes: a qualitative study in primary care
T Nolan, C Dack, K Pal, J Ross, FA Stevenson, R Peacock, M Pearson, D Spiegelhalter, M Sweeting, E Murray
– Br J Gen Pract
(2015)
65,
E152
Making sense of uncertainty, risk and chance in public health
D Spiegelhalter
– The Veterinary record
(2015)
176,
65
What can education learn from real-world communication of risk and uncertainty?
D Spiegelhalter, J Gage
– Mathematics Enthusiast
(2015)
12,
4
Sex‐rated statistics
D Spiegelhalter
– Significance
(2015)
12,
21
Robust meta-analytic-predictive priors in clinical trials with historical control information
H Schmidli, S Gsteiger, S Roychoudhury, A O'Hagan, D Spiegelhalter, B Neuenschwander
– Biometrics
(2014)
70,
1023
Statistics. The future lies in uncertainty.
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Science (New York, N.Y.)
(2014)
345,
264
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Room

D2.06

Telephone

01223 337945