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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Teaching Probability
J Gage, D Spiegelhalter
(2016)
Implementing informative priors for heterogeneity in meta-analysis using meta-regression and pseudo data
KM Rhodes, RM Turner, IR White, D Jackson, DJ Spiegelhalter, JPT Higgins
– Statistics in Medicine
(2016)
35,
5495
Surgeon Volume and Cancer Esophagectomy, Gastrectomy, and Pancreatectomy: A Population-based Study in England
R Mamidanna, Z Ni, O Anderson, SD Spiegelhalter, A Bottle, P Aylin, O Faiz, GB Hanna
– Ann Surg
(2016)
263,
727
Cancer Drugs Fund requires further reform.
R Grieve, K Abrams, K Claxton, B Goldacre, N James, J Nicholl, M Parmar, C Parker, JS Sekhon, L Smeeth, D Spiegelhalter, M Sculpher
– The BMJ
(2016)
354,
i5090
How old are you, really? Communicating chronic risk through 'effective age' of your body and organs.
D Spiegelhalter
– BMC medical informatics and decision making
(2016)
16,
104
The pros and cons of funnel plots as an aid to risk communication and patient decision making.
T Rakow, RJ Wright, DJ Spiegelhalter, C Bull
– British journal of psychology (London, England : 1953)
(2015)
106,
327
Sex by Numbers
D Spiegelhalter
(2015)
Patient reactions to a web-based cardiovascular risk calculator in type 2 diabetes: A qualitative study in primary care
T Nolan, C Dack, K Pal, J Ross, FA Stevenson, R Peacock, M Pearson, D Spiegelhalter, M Sweeting, E Murray
– British Journal of General Practice
(2015)
65,
e152
Making sense of uncertainty, risk and chance in public health.
D Spiegelhalter
– Vet Rec
(2015)
176,
65
What can education learn from real-world communication of risk and uncertainty?
D Spiegelhalter, J Gage
– Mathematics Enthusiast
(2015)
12,
4
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Room

D2.06

Telephone

01223 337945