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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Sound Human, Steer Clear of Jargon, and be Prepared
K McConway, D Spiegelhalter
– Significance (Oxford, England)
(2021)
18,
32
COVID-19 risk perception: A longitudinal analysis of its predictors and associations with health protective behaviours in the United Kingdom
CR Schneider, S Dryhurst, J Kerr, ALJ Freeman, G Recchia, D Spiegelhalter, S van der Linden
– Journal of Risk Research
(2021)
24,
294
What is my covid risk?
S Finnikin, DJ Spiegelhalter
– BMJ (Clinical research ed.)
(2021)
372,
n637
The adverse effects of bisphosphonates in breast cancer: A systematic review and network meta-analysis.
C Jackson, ALJ Freeman, Z Szlamka, DJ Spiegelhalter
– PloS one
(2021)
16,
e0246441
Five rules for evidence communication
M Blastland, ALJ Freeman, S van der Linden, TM Marteau, D Spiegelhalter
– Nature
(2020)
587,
362
Living risk prediction algorithm (QCOVID) for risk of hospital admission and mortality from coronavirus 19 in adults: national derivation and validation cohort study
AK Clift, CAC Coupland, RH Keogh, K Diaz-Ordaz, E Williamson, EM Harrison, A Hayward, H Hemingway, P Horby, N Mehta, J Benger, K Khunti, D Spiegelhalter, A Sheikh, J Valabhji, RA Lyons, J Robson, MG Semple, F Kee, P Johnson, S Jebb, T Williams, J Hippisley-Cox
– BMJ (Clinical research ed.)
(2020)
371,
m3731
Communicating personalised risks from COVID-19: guidelines from an empirical study
A Freeman, J Kerr, G Recchia, C Schneider, ACE Lawrence, L Finikarides, G Luoni, S Dryhurst, D Spiegelhalter
(2020)
2020.10.05.20206961
Use of "normal" risk to improve understanding of dangers of covid-19
D Spiegelhalter
– BMJ (Clinical research ed.)
(2020)
370,
m3259
Shielding from covid-19 should be stratified by risk.
GD Smith, D Spiegelhalter
– BMJ (Clinical research ed.)
(2020)
369,
m2063
The effects of communicating uncertainty on public trust in facts and numbers.
AM van der Bles, S van der Linden, ALJ Freeman, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
(2020)
117,
7672
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Room

D2.06

Telephone

01223 337945