Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk
Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment
Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.
Publications
How to maintain trustworthiness when doctors act as policy advocates.
– The BMJ
(2024)
386,
e079929
(doi: 10.1136/bmj-2024-079929)
Modelling hepatitis C infection acquired from blood transfusions in the UK between 1970 and 1991 for the Infected Blood Inquiry.
– Royal Society Open Science
(2024)
11,
231722
(doi: 10.1098/rsos.231722)
The effects of communicating scientific uncertainty on trust and decision making in a public health context
– Judgment and Decision Making
(2023)
17,
849
(doi: 10.1017/s1930297500008962)
Discussion of Presidential Address: Statistics in Times of Increasing Uncertainty by Sylvia Richardson
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society
(2022)
185,
1499
(doi: 10.1111/rssa.12970)
The effects of quality of evidence communication on perception of public health information about COVID-19: Two randomised controlled trials.
– PloS one
(2021)
16,
e0259048
(doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0259048)
Expert elicitation on the relative importance of possible SARS-CoV-2 transmission routes and the effectiveness of mitigations.
– BMJ open
(2021)
11,
e050869
(doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-050869)
Redevelopment of the Predict: Breast Cancer website and recommendations for developing interfaces to support decision-making.
– Cancer Medicine
(2021)
10,
5141
(doi: 10.1002/cam4.4072)
Factors associated with deaths due to COVID-19 versus other causes: population-based cohort analysis of UK primary care data and linked national death registrations within the OpenSAFELY platform
– The Lancet regional health. Europe
(2021)
6,
100109
(doi: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2021.100109)
How well did experts and laypeople forecast the size of the COVID-19 pandemic?
– PloS one
(2021)
16,
e0250935
(doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0250935)
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