Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk
Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment
Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.
Publications
David Spiegelhalter’s contribution to the Discussion of ‘Some statistical aspects of the COVID-19 response’ by Wood et al.
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society
(2025)
189,
107
(doi: 10.1093/jrsssa/qnaf105)
Reading the signals: Developing a maternity outcome signal system (MOSS) to improve critical outcomes at term
– BJOG-AN INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF OBSTETRICS AND GYNAECOLOGY
(2025)
132,
109
Why probability probably doesn't exist (but it is useful to act like it does).
– Nature
(2024)
636,
560
(doi: 10.1038/d41586-024-04096-5)
How to maintain trustworthiness when doctors act as policy advocates.
– BMJ (Clinical research ed.)
(2024)
386,
e079929
(doi: 10.1136/bmj-2024-079929)
Modelling hepatitis C infection acquired from blood transfusions in the UK between 1970 and 1991 for the Infected Blood Inquiry
– R Soc Open Sci
(2024)
11,
231722
(doi: 10.1098/rsos.231722)
Modelling hepatitis C infection acquired from blood transfusions in the UK between 1970 and 1991 for the Infected Blood Inquiry
(2023)
(doi: 10.1101/2023.11.03.23298029)
The effects of communicating scientific uncertainty on trust and decision making in a public health context
– Judgment and Decision Making
(2023)
17,
849
(doi: 10.1017/s1930297500008962)
Discussion of Presidential address: Statistics in times of increasing uncertainty by Sylvia Richardson
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A Statistics in Society
(2022)
185,
1499
(doi: 10.1111/rssa.12970)
The effects of quality of evidence communication on perception of public health information about COVID-19: Two randomised controlled trials
– PloS one
(2021)
16,
e0259048
(doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0259048)
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