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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

STATISTICS The future lies in uncertainty
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Science
(2014)
345,
264
The power of the MicroMort
DJ Spiegelhalter
– BJOG: An International Journal of Obstetrics and Gynaecology
(2014)
121,
662
Joint British Societies' consensus recommendations for the prevention of cardiovascular disease (JBS3)
JBS3 Board
– Heart (British Cardiac Society)
(2014)
100,
ii1
Information visualisation for science and policy: engaging users and avoiding bias
GJ McInerny, M Chen, R Freeman, D Gavaghan, M Meyer, F Rowland, DJ Spiegelhalter, M Stefaner, G Tessarolo, J Hortal
– Trends in ecology & evolution
(2014)
29,
148
The deviance information criterion: 12 years on
DJ Spiegelhalter, NG Best, BP Carlin, A Van der Linde
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology
(2014)
76,
485
Offering informed choice about breast screening
LJL Forbes, A-J Ramirez, Expert group on Information about Breast Screening
– Journal of medical screening
(2014)
21,
194
The pros and cons of funnel plots as an aid to risk communication and patient decision making.
T Rakow, RJ Wright, DJ Spiegelhalter, C Bull
– Br J Psychol
(2015)
106,
327
Twenty tips for interpreting scientific claims
WJ Sutherland, D Spiegelhalter, MA Burgman
– NATURE
(2013)
503,
335
Conflict diagnostics in directed acyclic graphs, with applications in bayesian evidence synthesis
AM Presanis, D Ohlssen, DJ Spiegelhalter, D De Angelis
– Statistical Science
(2013)
28,
376
Use of implicit and explicit bayesian methods in health technology assessment.
NJ Cooper, D Spiegelhalter, S Bujkiewicz, P Dequen, AJ Sutton
– International journal of technology assessment in health care
(2013)
29,
336
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Room

D2.06

Telephone

01223 337945