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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Bayesian graphical modelling: A case-study in monitoring health outcomes
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics
(2002)
47,
115
Analysis of Longitudinal Binary Data from Multiphase Sampling
D Clayton, D Spiegelhalter, G Dunn, A Pickles
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology
(2002)
60,
71
Bayesian stopping rules for trials - Reply
MK Parmar, DJ Spiegelhalter, GO Griffiths, DG Altman, RL Souhami
– The Lancet
(2002)
359,
76
Bayesian stopping rules for trials
J Nicholl, S Goodacre
– Lancet
(2002)
359,
76
Funnel plots for institutional comparisons
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Quality Safety in Health Care
(2002)
11,
390
VIBES: A Variational Inference Engine for Bayesian Networks
CM Bishop, D Spiegelhalter, J Winn
– Nips 2002 Proceedings of the 15th International Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems
(2002)
777
Prospective application of Bayesian monitoring and analysis in an "open" randomized clinical trial.
A Vail, J Hornbuckle, DJ Spiegelhalter, JG Thornton
– Statistics in medicine
(2001)
20,
3777
Was Bristol an outlier?
D Carr
– The Lancet
(2001)
358,
2083
Was Bristol an outlier?
MA Mohammed, KK Cheng, A Rouse, T Marshall, J Duffy
– The Lancet
(2001)
358,
2083
Was Bristol an outlier? Reply
P Aylin, D Spiegelhalter, N Best, GD Murray, P Elliott
– The Lancet
(2001)
358,
2084
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory