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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor David Spiegelhalter

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Monitoring of large randomised clinical trials: a new approach with Bayesian methods
MK Parmar, GO Griffiths, DJ Spiegelhalter, RL Souhami, DG Altman, E van der Scheuren, CHART steering committee
– Lancet
(2001)
358,
375
(doi: 10.1016/s0140-6736(01)05558-1)
Comparison of uk paediatric cardiac surgical performance by analysis of routinely collected data 1984-96: Was bristol an outlier?
P Aylin, B Alves, N Best, A Cook, P Elliott, SJ Evans, AE Lawrence, GD Murray, J Pollock, D Spiegelhalter
– The Lancet
(2001)
358,
181
(doi: 10.1016/s0140-6736(01)05404-6)
“Actuarial Modeling with MCMC and BUGs”, David P. M. Scollnik, April 2001
D Spiegelhalter
– North American Actuarial Journal
(2001)
5,
124
(doi: 10.1080/10920277.2001.10595988)
Raising concerns about family history of breast cancer in primary care consultations: prospective, population based study. Women's Concerns Study Group.
F Hyland, AL Kinmonth, TM Marteau, S Griffin, P Murrell, D Spiegelhalter, C Todd, F Walter, B Berrington, M Bobrow, J Mackay
– BMJ (Clinical research ed.)
(2001)
322,
27
(doi: 10.1136/bmj.322.7277.27)
Bayesian methods for cluster randomized trials with continuous responses.
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Statistics in medicine
(2001)
20,
435
(doi: 10.1002/1097-0258(20010215)20:3<435::AID-SIM804>3.0.CO;2-E)
Framework for design and evaluation of complex interventions to improve health
M Campbell, R Fitzpatrick, A Haines, AL Kinmonth, P Sandercock, D Spiegelhalter, P Tyrer
– British Medical Journal
(2000)
321,
694
(doi: 10.1136/bmj.321.7262.694)
Framework for design and evaluation of complex interventions to improve health.
M Campbell, R Fitzpatrick, A Haines, AL Kinmonth, P Sandercock, D Spiegelhalter, P Tyrer
– BMJ (Clinical research ed.)
(2000)
321,
694
(doi: 10.1136/bmj.321.7262.694)
WinBUGS Version 1.3 User Manual
DJ Spiegelhalter, A Thomas, NG Best, D Lunn
(2000)
Consensus and controversy in pharmaceutical statistics - Discussion
JA Lewis, DJ Spiegelhalter, D Ashby, O Keene, A Racine-Poon, AC Atkinson, AP Grieve, D Morgan, JA Nelder, DA Preece, SJW Evans, JM Bland, GA Barnard, GG Koch, DV Lindley, B Scherrer, D Hauschke, SA Julious, M Ireson, PA Lachenbruch, E Lesaffre, NT Longford, RT O'Neill, A Phillips, A Ebbutt, L France, D Morgan
– J ROY STAT SOC D-STA
(2000)
49,
156
(link to publication)
WinBUGS - A Bayesian modelling framework: Concepts, structure, and extensibility
DJ Lunn, A Thomas, N Best, D Spiegelhalter
– Statistics and Computing
(2000)
10,
325
(doi: 10.1023/a:1008929526011)
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory

Email

D.Spiegelhalter@statslab.cam.ac.uk

Personal homepage

https://www.dpmms.cam.ac.uk/~ds28/

    Study at Cambridge

    About the University

    Research at Cambridge