Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk
Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment
Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.
Publications
VIBES: A variational inference engine for Bayesian networks
– Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems
(2003)
Funnel plots for institutional comparison.
– Qual Saf Health Care
(2002)
11,
390
(doi: 10.1136/qhc.11.4.390-a)
Bayesian analysis of population PK/PD models: general concepts and software.
– Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics
(2002)
29,
271
(doi: 10.1023/a:1020206907668)
Bayesian Measures of Model Complexity and Fit
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B Statistical Methodology
(2002)
64,
583
(doi: 10.1111/1467-9868.00353)
Commissioned analysis of surgical performance using routine data: Lessons from the Bristol inquiry
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society)
(2002)
165,
191
(doi: 10.1111/1467-985x.02021)
Bayesian random effects meta-analysis of trials with binary outcomes: methods for the absolute risk difference and relative risk scales.
– Statistics in medicine
(2002)
21,
1601
(doi: 10.1002/sim.1189)
Surgical audit: statistical lessons from Nightingale and Codman
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society)
(2002)
162,
45
(doi: 10.1111/1467-985X.00120)
Mortality and volume of cases in paediatric cardiac surgery: retrospective study based on routinely collected data
– The BMJ
(2002)
324,
261
(doi: 10.1136/bmj.324.7332.261)
Mortality and volume of cases in paediatric cardiac surgery: retrospective study based on routinely collected data
– British Medical Journal
(2002)
324,
261
(doi: 10.1136/bmj.324.7332.261)
Being sceptical about meta-analyses: A Bayesian perspective on magnesium trials in myocardial infarction
– International Journal of Epidemiology
(2002)
31,
96
(doi: 10.1093/ije/31.1.96)
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