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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Score and ignore: A radio listener's guide to ignoring health stories
K McConway, D Spiegelhalter
– Significance
(2012)
9,
45
The Bugs Book
D Lunn, C Jackson, DJ Spiegelhalter, N Best, A Thomas
(2012)
Incorporation of uncertainty in health economic modelling studies.
A O'Hagan, C McCabe, R Akehurst, A Brennan, A Briggs, K Claxton, E Fenwick, D Fryback, M Sculpher, D Spiegelhalter, A Willan
– PharmacoEconomics
(2012)
23,
529
The authors’ reply
A O’Hagan, C McCabe, R Akehurst, A Brennan, A Briggs, K Claxton, E Fenwick, D Fryback, M Sculpher, D Spiegelhalter, A Willan
– PharmacoEconomics
(2012)
23,
853
Incorporation of uncertainty in health economic modelling studies
M Nuijten
– PharmacoEconomics
(2012)
23,
851
Blood cyclosporin concentrations and the short‐term risk of lung rejection following heart‐lung transplantation.
NG Best, AK Trull, KK Tan, KL Hue, DJ Spiegelhalter, SM Gore, J Wallwork
– Br J Clin Pharmacol
(2012)
34,
513
Simple and multistate survival curves: Can people learn to use them?
T Rakow, RJ Wright, C Bull, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Med Decis Making
(2012)
32,
792
Empirical Evaluation of Prior Beliefs about Frequencies: Methodology and a Case Study in Congenital Heart Disease
DJ Spiegelhalter, NL Harris, K Bull, RCG Franklin
– Journal of the American Statistical Association
(2012)
89,
435
Improved probabilistic prediction of healthcare performance indicators using bidirectional smoothing models
HE Jones, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society)
(2012)
175,
729
Routine antenatal anti-D prophylaxis in women who are Rh(D) negative: Meta-analyses adjusted for differences in study design and quality
RM Turner, M Lloyd-Jones, DOC Anumba, GCS Smith, DJ Spiegelhalter, H Squires, JW Stevens, MJ Sweeting, SJ Urbaniak, R Webster, SG Thompson
– PLoS One
(2012)
7,
e30711
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory