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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Handling uncertainty in housing stock models
AT Booth, R Choudhary, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Building and Environment
(2012)
48,
35
The bugs book: A practical introduction to bayesian analysis
D Lunn, C Jackson, N Best, A Thomas, D Spiegelhalter
(2012)
1
A collaboratively-derived science-policy research agenda
WJ Sutherland, L Bellingan, JR Bellingham, JJ Blackstock, RM Bloomfield, M Bravo, VM Cadman, DD Cleevely, A Clements, AS Cohen, DR Cope, AA Daemmrich, C Devecchi, LD Anadon, S Denegri, R Doubleday, NR Dusic, RJ Evans, WY Feng, HC Godfray, P Harris, SE Hartley, AJ Hester, J Holmes, A Hughes, M Hulme, C Irwin, RC Jennings, GS Kass, P Littlejohns, TM Marteau, G McKee, EP Millstone, WJ Nuttall, S Owens, MM Parker, S Pearson, J Petts, R Ploszek, AS Pullin, G Reid, KS Richards, JG Robinson, L Shaxson, L Sierra, BG Smith, DJ Spiegelhalter, J Stilgoe, A Stirling, CP Tyler, DE Winickoff, RL Zimmern
– PLoS One
(2012)
7,
e31824
Don't know, can't know: embracing deeper uncertainties when analysing risks.
DJ Spiegelhalter, H Riesch
– Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci
(2011)
369,
4730
Statistical methods for healthcare regulation: Rating, screening and surveillance
D Spiegelhalter, C Sherlaw-Johnson, M Bardsley, I Blunt, C Wood, O Grigg
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A Statistics in Society
(2011)
175,
1
The Identification of “Unusual” Health-Care Providers From a Hierarchical Model
HE Jones, DJ Spiegelhalter
– American Statistician
(2011)
65,
154
Visualizing uncertainty about the future.
D Spiegelhalter, M Pearson, I Short
– Science (New York, N.Y.)
(2011)
333,
1393
Fear and Numbers in Fukushima
D Spiegelhalter
– Significance
(2011)
8,
100
Development of a transparent interactive decision interrogator to facilitate the decision-making process in health care
S Bujkiewicz, HE Jones, MCW Lai, NJ Cooper, N Hawkins, H Squires, KR Abrams, DJ Spiegelhalter, AJ Sutton
– Value in Health
(2011)
14,
768
Risk expert: why radiation fears are often exaggerated
A George
– New Scientist
(2011)
209,
33
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory