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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Application of Bayesian statistics to decision making during a clinical trial.
LS Freedman, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Stat Med
(2013)
11,
23
Bicycle helmets and the law.
B Goldacre, D Spiegelhalter
– The BMJ
(2013)
346,
f3817
Worrying times
M Blastland, D Spiegelhalter
– The New Scientist
(2013)
218,
26
The Norm Chronicles
M Blastland, D Spiegelhalter
(2013)
A hierarchical bayesian framework for calibrating micro-level models with macro-level data
AT Booth, R Choudhary, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Journal of Building Performance Simulation
(2013)
6,
293
Impact of plain packaging of tobacco products on smoking in adults and children: an elicitation of international experts' estimates
R Pechey, D Spiegelhalter, TM Marteau
– BMC Public Health
(2013)
13,
18
Transparent interactive decision interrogator-reply to letter to the editor by Michael Coory.
S Bujkiewicz, AJ Sutton, KR Abrams, NJ Cooper, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Value Health
(2013)
16,
216
Using speed of ageing and "microlives" to communicate the effects of lifetime habits and environment (vol 345, e8223, 2012)
D Spiegelhalter
– The BMJ
(2012)
345,
e8676
Using speed of ageing and “microlives” to communicate the effects of lifetime habits and environment
D Spiegelhalter
– BMJ (Clinical research ed.)
(2012)
345,
e8223
Breast Implants: The Scandal, the Outcry, and Assessing the Risks
D Spiegelhalter, S Knight, T Sant
– Significance
(2012)
9,
17
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory