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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Analysis of longitudinal binary data from multiphase sampling - Discussion on the papers by Forster and Smith and Clayton et al.
NT Longford, GM Raab, JM Robins, NY Wang, I Deltour, S Richardson, RL Chambers, JI Galbraith, D Draper, ME Dewey, JL Eltinge, DF Heitjan, G Molenberghs, MC Paik, J Forster, PWF Smith, D Clayton, D Spiegelhalter, G Dunn, A Pickles
– J ROY STAT SOC B
(1998)
60,
89
Hepatitis B: A case study in MCMC
DJ Spiegelhalter, NG Best, WR Gilks, H Inskip
– LEARNING IN GRAPHICAL MODELS
(1998)
89,
575
Incidence of functional decline and improvement in a community-dwelling, very elderly population.
R Hébert, C Brayne, D Spiegelhalter
– American Journal of Epidemiology
(1997)
145,
935
Survival analysis in observational studies.
K Bull, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Statistics in medicine
(1997)
16,
1041
Trends in invasive cervical cancer incidence in East Anglia from 1971 to 1993
L Gibson, DJ Spiegelhalter, C Camilleri-Ferrante, NE Day
– J Med Screen
(1997)
4,
44
Setting the minimal metrically detectable change on disability rating scales.
R Hébert, DJ Spiegelhalter, C Brayne
– Arch Phys Med Rehabil
(1997)
78,
1305
Probabilistic expert systems and graphical modelling: a case study in drug safety
DJ Spiegelhalter, AP Dawid, TA Hutchinson, RG Cowell
– Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences
(1997)
337,
387
Pharmacodynamics of cyclosporine in heart and heart-lung transplant recipients: II: Blood cyclosporine concentrations and other risk factors for lung allograft rejection
NG Best, KK Tan, AK Trull, DJ Spiegelhalter, S Stewart, J Wallwork
– Transplantation
(1996)
62,
1436
Pharmacodynamics of cyclosporine in heart and heart-lung transplant recipients .1. Blood cyclosporine concentrations and other risk factors for cardiac allograft rejection
NG Best, AK Trull, KK Tan, DJ Spiegelhalter, N Cary, J Wallwork
– Transplantation
(1996)
62,
1429
Effects of an ambient air pollution intervention and environmental tobacco smoke on children's respiratory health in Hong Kong
J Peters, AJ Hedley, CM Wong, TH Lam, SG Ong, J Liu, DJ Spiegelhalter
– International Journal of Epidemiology
(1996)
25,
821
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory