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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

“Actuarial Modeling with MCMC and BUGs”, David P. M. Scollnik, April 2001
D Spiegelhalter
– North American Actuarial Journal
(2001)
5,
124
Raising concerns about family history of breast cancer in primary care consultations: Prospective, population based study
F Hyland, AL Kinmonth, TM Marteau, S Griffin, P Murrell, D Spiegelhalter, C Todd, F Walter, B Berrington, M Bobrow, J Mackay
– British Medical Journal
(2001)
322,
27
Bayesian methods for cluster randomized trials with continuous responses.
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Statistics in Medicine
(2001)
20,
435
Framework for design and evaluation of complex interventions to improve health
M Campbell, R Fitzpatrick, A Haines, AL Kinmonth, P Sandercock, D Spiegelhalter, P Tyrer
– British Medical Journal
(2000)
321,
694
Framework for design and evaluation of complex interventions to improve health.
M Campbell, R Fitzpatrick, A Haines, AL Kinmonth, P Sandercock, D Spiegelhalter, P Tyrer
– The BMJ
(2000)
321,
694
Bayesian methods in health technology assessment: A review
DJ Spiegelhalter, JP Myles, DR Jones, KR Abrams
– Health Technology Assessment
(2000)
4,
WinBUGS Version 1.3 User Manual
DJ Spiegelhalter, A Thomas, NG Best, D Lunn
(2000)
Consensus and controversy in pharmaceutical statistics - Discussion
JA Lewis, DJ Spiegelhalter, D Ashby, O Keene, A Racine-Poon, AC Atkinson, AP Grieve, D Morgan, JA Nelder, DA Preece, SJW Evans, JM Bland, GA Barnard, GG Koch, DV Lindley, B Scherrer, D Hauschke, SA Julious, M Ireson, PA Lachenbruch, E Lesaffre, NT Longford, RT O'Neill, A Phillips, A Ebbutt, L France, D Morgan
– J ROY STAT SOC D-STA
(2000)
49,
156
Bayesian methods in health technology assessment: a review
DJ Spiegelhalter, JP Myles, DR Jones, KR Abrams
– Health Technology Assessment
(2000)
4,
1
WinBUGS - A Bayesian modelling framework: Concepts, structure, and extensibility
DJ Lunn, A Thomas, N Best, D Spiegelhalter
– Statistics and Computing
(2000)
10,
325
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory