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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

The bugs book: A practical introduction to bayesian analysis
D Lunn, C Jackson, N Best, A Thomas, D Spiegelhalter
(2012)
1
A collaboratively-derived science-policy research agenda
WJ Sutherland, L Bellingan, JR Bellingham, JJ Blackstock, RM Bloomfield, M Bravo, VM Cadman, DD Cleevely, A Clements, AS Cohen, DR Cope, AA Daemmrich, C Devecchi, LD Anadon, S Denegri, R Doubleday, NR Dusic, RJ Evans, WY Feng, HC Godfray, P Harris, SE Hartley, AJ Hester, J Holmes, A Hughes, M Hulme, C Irwin, RC Jennings, GS Kass, P Littlejohns, TM Marteau, G McKee, EP Millstone, WJ Nuttall, S Owens, MM Parker, S Pearson, J Petts, R Ploszek, AS Pullin, G Reid, KS Richards, JG Robinson, L Shaxson, L Sierra, BG Smith, DJ Spiegelhalter, J Stilgoe, A Stirling, CP Tyler, DE Winickoff, RL Zimmern
– PLoS One
(2012)
7,
e31824
Don't know, can't know: embracing deeper uncertainties when analysing risks.
DJ Spiegelhalter, H Riesch
– Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences
(2011)
369,
4730
Statistical methods for healthcare regulation: Rating, screening and surveillance
D Spiegelhalter, C Sherlaw-Johnson, M Bardsley, I Blunt, C Wood, O Grigg
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society
(2011)
175,
1
The Identification of "Unusual" Health-Care Providers From a Hierarchical Model
HE Jones, DJ Spiegelhalter
– American Statistician
(2011)
65,
154
Visualizing Uncertainty About the Future
D Spiegelhalter, M Pearson, I Short
– Science
(2011)
333,
1393
Fear and numbers in Fukushima
D Spiegelhalter
– Significance
(2011)
8,
100
Development of a transparent interactive decision interrogator to facilitate the decision-making process in health care
S Bujkiewicz, HE Jones, MCW Lai, NJ Cooper, N Hawkins, H Squires, KR Abrams, DJ Spiegelhalter, AJ Sutton
– Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research
(2011)
14,
768
Risk expert: why radiation fears are often exaggerated
A George
– New Scientist
(2011)
209,
33
‘Careless pork costs lives’: Risk stories from science to press release to media
H Riesch, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Health Risk & Society
(2011)
13,
47
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory