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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

The bugs book: A practical introduction to bayesian analysis
D Lunn, C Jackson, N Best, A Thomas, D Spiegelhalter
(2012)
1
A collaboratively-derived science-policy research agenda
WJ Sutherland, L Bellingan, JR Bellingham, JJ Blackstock, RM Bloomfield, M Bravo, VM Cadman, DD Cleevely, A Clements, AS Cohen, DR Cope, AA Daemmrich, C Devecchi, LD Anadon, S Denegri, R Doubleday, NR Dusic, RJ Evans, WY Feng, HC Godfray, P Harris, SE Hartley, AJ Hester, J Holmes, A Hughes, M Hulme, C Irwin, RC Jennings, GS Kass, P Littlejohns, TM Marteau, G McKee, EP Millstone, WJ Nuttall, S Owens, MM Parker, S Pearson, J Petts, R Ploszek, AS Pullin, G Reid, KS Richards, JG Robinson, L Shaxson, L Sierra, BG Smith, DJ Spiegelhalter, J Stilgoe, A Stirling, CP Tyler, DE Winickoff, RL Zimmern
– PLoS ONE
(2012)
7,
e31824
Don't know, can't know: Embracing deeper uncertainties when analysing risks
DJ Spiegelhalter, H Riesch
– Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci
(2011)
369,
4730
Statistical Methods for Healthcare Regulation: Rating, Screening and Surveillance
D Spiegelhalter, C Sherlaw-Johnson, M Bardsley, I Blunt, C Wood, O Grigg
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A Statistics in Society
(2011)
175,
1
The identification of "Unusual" Health-Care providers from a hierarchical model
HE Jones, DJ Spiegelhalter
– American Statistician
(2011)
65,
154
Visualizing uncertainty about the future.
D Spiegelhalter, M Pearson, I Short
– Science (New York, N.Y.)
(2011)
333,
1393
Fear and Numbers in Fukushima
D Spiegelhalter
– Significance
(2011)
8,
100
Development of a transparent interactive decision interrogator to facilitate the decision-making process in health care.
S Bujkiewicz, HE Jones, MCW Lai, NJ Cooper, N Hawkins, H Squires, KR Abrams, DJ Spiegelhalter, AJ Sutton
– Value Health
(2011)
14,
768
One minute with ... David Spiegelhalter
A George
– New Scientist
(2011)
209,
33
‘Careless pork costs lives’: Risk stories from science to press release to media
H Riesch, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Health Risk and Society
(2011)
13,
47
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory