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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

The Norm Chronicles
M Blastland, D Spiegelhalter
(2013)
Worrying times
M Blastland, D Spiegelhalter
– New Scientist
(2013)
218,
26
A hierarchical bayesian framework for calibrating micro-level models with macro-level data
AT Booth, R Choudhary, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Journal of Building Performance Simulation
(2013)
6,
293
Impact of plain packaging of tobacco products on smoking in adults and children: an elicitation of international experts' estimates.
R Pechey, D Spiegelhalter, TM Marteau
– BMC Public Health
(2013)
13,
18
Transparent interactive decision interrogator - Reply to letter to the editor by michael coory
S Bujkiewicz, AJ Sutton, KR Abrams, NJ Cooper, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Value Health
(2013)
16,
216
Twenty tips for interpreting scientific claims
WJ Sutherland, D Spiegelhalter, MA Burgman
– NATURE
(2013)
503,
335
Using speed of ageing and "microlives" to communicate the effects of lifetime habits and environment (vol 345, e8223, 2012)
D Spiegelhalter
– The BMJ
(2012)
345,
e8676
Using speed of ageing and “microlives” to communicate the effects of lifetime habits and environment
D Spiegelhalter
– BMJ (Clinical research ed.)
(2012)
345,
e8223
Breast implants: The scandal, the outcry, and assessing the risks
D Spiegelhalter, S Knight, T Sant
– Significance
(2012)
9,
17
Score and ignore: A radio listener's guide to ignoring health stories
K McConway, D Spiegelhalter
– Significance
(2012)
9,
45
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory