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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

The CHART trials: Bayesian design and monitoring in practice. CHART Steering Committee.
MKB Parmar, DJ Spiegelhalter, LS Freedman
– Statistics in Medicine
(2006)
13,
1297
The what, why and how of bayesian clinical trials monitoring
LS Freedman, DJ Spiegelhalter, MK Parmar
– Statistics in medicine
(2006)
13,
1371
A unified method for monitoring and analysing controlled trials
J Grossman, MK Parmar, DJ Spiegelhalter, LS Freedman
– Statistics in medicine
(2006)
13,
1815
The chart trials: Bayesian design and monitoring in practice
MK Parmar, DJ Spiegelhalter, LS Freedman
– Statistics in Medicine
(2006)
13,
1297
Evaluation of clinical decision-aids, with an application to a system for dyspepsia.
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Statistics in medicine
(2006)
2,
207
A predictive approach to selecting the size of a clinical trial, based on subjective clinical opinion
DJ Spiegelhalter, LS Freedman
– Statistics in medicine
(2006)
5,
1
An analysis of repeated biopsies following cardiac transplantation.
DJ Spiegelhalter, PG Stovin
– Statistics in Medicine
(2006)
2,
33
Probabilistic prediction in patient management and clinical trials
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Statistics in medicine
(2006)
5,
421
Sequential updating of conditional probabilities on directed graphical structures
DJ Spiegelhalter, SL Lauritzen
– Networks
(2006)
20,
579
Screening for diabetic retinopathy: a relative cost-effectiveness analysis of alternative modalities and strategies.
MJ Sculpher, MJ Buxton, BA Ferguson, DJ Spiegelhalter, AJ Kirby
– Health economics
(2006)
1,
39
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory