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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Probabilistic Networks and Expert Systems
RG Cowell, P Dawid, SL Lauritzen, DJ Spiegelhalter
(2007)
Identifying outliers in Bayesian hierarchical models: a simulation-based approach
EC Marshall, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Bayesian Analysis
(2007)
2,
409
Management of women with a cervical smear showing a mild degree of dyskaryosis: a review of policy.
P Cooper, AJ Kirby, DJ Spiegelhalter, AL Whitehead, A Patterson
– Cytopathology
(2007)
3,
331
Comments on An inquiry into computer understanding by Peter Cheeseman
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Computational Intelligence
(2007)
4,
124
Comparison of groups when outcomes are on an ordered scale.
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Alimentary Pharmacology Therapeutics
(2007)
2,
41
A Simple Risk-Adjusted Exponentially Weighted Moving Average
O Grigg, D Spiegelhalter
– Journal of the American Statistical Association
(2007)
102,
140
Bayesian approaches to random-effects meta-analysis: A comparative study
TC Smith, DJ Spiegelhalter, A Thomas
– Stat Med
(2007)
14,
2685
Applying Bayesian ideas in drug development and clinical trials
DJ Spiegelhalter, LS Freedman, MK Parmar
– Statistics in Medicine
(2007)
12,
1501
A simple diagnostic plot connecting robust estimation, outlier detection, and false discovery rates
K Rice, D Spiegelhalter
– Journal of Applied Statistics
(2007)
33,
1131
Health economics and the search for shunt-responsive symptomatic hydrocephalus in the elderly
JD Pickard, D Spiegelhalter, M Czosnyka
– Journal of neurosurgery
(2006)
105,
811
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory