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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Sex by Numbers
D Spiegelhalter
(2015)
Patient reactions to a web-based cardiovascular risk calculator in type 2 diabetes: a qualitative study in primary care.
T Nolan, C Dack, K Pal, J Ross, FA Stevenson, R Peacock, M Pearson, D Spiegelhalter, M Sweeting, E Murray
– Br J Gen Pract
(2015)
65,
e152
Making sense of uncertainty, risk and chance in public health
D Spiegelhalter
– The Veterinary record
(2015)
176,
65
Robust meta-analytic-predictive priors in clinical trials with historical control information.
H Schmidli, S Gsteiger, S Roychoudhury, A O'Hagan, D Spiegelhalter, B Neuenschwander
– Biometrics
(2014)
70,
1023
Offering informed choice about breast screening.
LJL Forbes, A-J Ramirez, Expert group on Information about Breast Screening
– Journal of Medical Screening
(2014)
21,
194
The pros and cons of funnel plots as an aid to risk communication and patient decision making.
T Rakow, RJ Wright, DJ Spiegelhalter, C Bull
– Br J Psychol
(2014)
106,
327
Statistics. The future lies in uncertainty.
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Science
(2014)
345,
264
The power of the MicroMort.
DJ Spiegelhalter
– BJOG an International Journal of Obstetrics and Gynaecology
(2014)
121,
662
Joint British Societies' consensus recommendations for the prevention of cardiovascular disease (JBS3)
JBS3 Board
– Heart (British Cardiac Society)
(2014)
100 Suppl 2,
1
Information visualisation for science and policy: engaging users and avoiding bias
GJ McInerny, M Chen, R Freeman, D Gavaghan, M Meyer, F Rowland, DJ Spiegelhalter, M Stefaner, G Tessarolo, J Hortal
– Trends in Ecology & Evolution
(2014)
29,
148
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory