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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Probabilistic reasoning in expert systems
DJ Spiegelhalter
– American Journal of Mathematical and Management Sciences
(1989)
9,
191
Comparison of Bayesian with group sequential methods for monitoring clinical trials
LS Freedman, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Controlled Clinical Trials
(1989)
10,
357
Cardiac surgery for patients aged 65 years and older: a long term survival analysis.
S Livesey, N Caine, DJ Spiegelhalter, TA English, J Wallwork
– Br Heart J
(1988)
60,
480
LOCAL COMPUTATIONS WITH PROBABILITIES ON GRAPHICAL STRUCTURES AND THEIR APPLICATION TO EXPERT SYSTEMS - DISCUSSION
FP KELLY, DJ HAND, AR THATCHER, JQ SMITH, F CRITCHLEY, AFM SMITH, J HILDEN, WS KENDALL, GF COOPER, AP DAWID, AP DEMPSTER, RG ALMOND, D DUBOIS, H PRADE, SE FIENBERG, MM MEYER, KG OLESEN, SK ANDERSEN, A GAMMERMAN, CGG AITKEN, JD ANDERSEN, RE BARLOW, C BERZUINI, M STEFANELLI, P CHEESEMAN, IJ GOOD, T HAVRANEK, M HENRION, FV JENSEN, A KONG, KV MARDIA, M MCLEISH, J PEARL, LD PHILLIPS, BT PORTEOUS, I PRATT, AL RECTOR, RD SHACHTER, G SHAFER, P SHENOY, P SMETS, A THOMAS, DL TRITCHLER, N WERMUTH, J WHITTAKER, SL LAURITZEN, DJ SPIEGELHALTER
– JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES B-STATISTICAL METHODOLOGY
(1988)
50,
194
Treatment Decisions in Breast Cancer
SM Gore, AO Langlands, DJ Spiegelhalter, HJ Stewart
– Recent Results Cancer Res
(1988)
111,
149
Predicting difficult intubation.
ME Wilson, D Spiegelhalter, JA Robertson, P Lesser
– British Journal of Anaesthesia
(1988)
61,
211
A predictive approach to selecting the size of a clinical trial, based on subjective clinical opinion.
DJ Spiegelhalter, LS Freedman
– Recent Results in Cancer Research
(1988)
111,
195
LOCAL COMPUTATIONS WITH PROBABILITIES ON GRAPHICAL STRUCTURES AND THEIR APPLICATION TO EXPERT SYSTEMS
SL LAURITZEN, DJ SPIEGELHALTER
– J ROY STAT SOC B MET
(1988)
50,
157
Cardiac transplantation with cyclosporine and steroids: medium and long-term results.
M Hakim, D Spiegelhalter, TA English, N Caine, J Wallwork
– Transplantation proceedings
(1988)
20,
327
CLINICAL-TRIALS
DJ SPIEGELHALTER, MKB PARMAR
– NEW SCIENTIST
(1987)
116,
62
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory