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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor David Spiegelhalter

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

[Bayesian Analysis in Expert Systems]: Comment: Assessing the Science Behind Graphical Modelling Techniques
AP Dempster
– Statistical Science
(1993)
8,
247
(doi: 10.1214/ss/1177010889)
Tricuspid atresia presenting in infancy. Survival and suitability for the Fontan operation.
RC Franklin, DJ Spiegelhalter, ID Sullivan, RH Anderson, DG Thoele, EA Shinebourne, JE Deanfield
– Circulation
(1993)
87,
427
(doi: 10.1161/01.cir.87.2.427)
MODELING COMPLEXITY - APPLICATIONS OF GIBBS SAMPLING IN MEDICINE
WR GILKS, DG CLAYTON, DJ SPIEGELHALTER, NG BEST, AJ MCNEIL, LD SHARPLES, AJ KIRBY
– J ROY STAT SOC B MET
(1993)
55,
39
(link to publication)
BAYESIAN NETWORKS FOR THE ANALYSIS OF DRUG SAFETY
RG COWELL, AP DAWID, TA HUTCHINSON, S RODEN, DJ SPIEGELHALTER
– JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES D-THE STATISTICIAN
(1993)
42,
369
(link to publication)
Sequential Model Criticism in Probabilistic Expert Systems
RG Cowell, AP Dawid, DJ Spiegelhalter
– IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence
(1993)
15,
209
(doi: 10.1109/34.204903)
DISCUSSION ON THE MEETING ON THE GIBBS SAMPLER AND OTHER MARKOV CHAIN-MONTE CARLO METHODS
P CLIFFORD, C JENNISON, J WAKEFIELD, D PHILLIPS, A FRIGESSI, AJ GRAY, A LAWSON, J FORSTER, P RAMGOPAL, O ARSLAN, PDL CONSTABLE, JT KENT, RCL WOLFF, EF HARDING, R MIDDLETON, PJ DIGGLE, RG AYKROYD, C BERZUINI, M BREWER, C AITKEN, G CELEUX, J DIEBOLT, F CRITCHLEY, P DIACONIS, JS ROSENTHAL, J DIEBOLT, CP ROBERT, AE GELFAND, TM LEE, A GELMAN, DB RUBIN, D GEMAN, J GEWEKE, CJ GEYER, A GIGLI, GH GIVENS, C GOODALL, GD JONALASINIO, AP GRIEVE, XL HAN, JE KOLASSA, MA TANNER, C KOOPERBERG, SM LEWIS, S LIN, EA THOMPSON, CD LITTON, CE BUCK, CH LIU, J LIU, KV MARDIA, JM MARRIOTT, J MOLLER, AE RAFTERY, N SHEPHARD, D SINHA, AD SOKAL, DM TITTERINGTON, JD WILSON, J YORK, D MADIGAN, AFM SMITH, GO ROBERTS, J BESAG, PJ GREEN, WR GILKS, DG CLAYTON, DJ SPIEGELHALTER
– J ROY STAT SOC B MET
(1993)
55,
53
(link to publication)
Conservative treatment of mild/moderate cervical dyskaryosis: Long-term outcome
AJ KIRBY, DJ SPIEGELHALTER, NE DAY, L FENTON, K SWANSON, EMF MANN, JE MACGBEGOR
– Obstetrical & Gynecological Survey
(1993)
48,
263
(doi: 10.1097/00006254-199304000-00016)
Risk stratification for open heart surgery.
DJ Spiegelhalter
– British Medical Journal
(1992)
305,
1500.2
(doi: 10.1136/bmj.305.6867.1500-a)
Quality of life measures in health care. III: Resource allocation.
DJ Spiegelhalter, SM Gore, R Fitzpatrick, AE Fletcher, DR Jones, DR Cox
– The BMJ
(1992)
305,
1205
(doi: 10.1136/bmj.305.6863.1205)
Quality of life measures in health care. III: Resource allocation.
DJ Spiegelhalter, SM Gore, R Fitzpatrick, AE Fletcher, DR Jones, DR Cox
– BMJ (Clinical research ed.)
(1992)
305,
1205
(doi: 10.1136/bmj.305.6863.1205)
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory

Email

D.Spiegelhalter@statslab.cam.ac.uk

Personal homepage

https://www.dpmms.cam.ac.uk/~ds28/

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    Research at Cambridge