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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Identifying outliers in bayesian hierarchical models: A simulation-based approach
EC Marshall, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Bayesian Analysis
(2007)
2,
409
Management of Women With A Cervical Smear Showing A Mild Degree of Dyskaryosis: A Review of Policy
P Cooper, AJ Kirby, DJ Spiegelhalter, AL Whitehead, A Patterson
– Cytopathology
(2007)
3,
331
Comments on An inquiry into computer understanding by Peter Cheeseman
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Computational Intelligence
(2007)
4,
124
Comparison of groups when outcomes are on an ordered scale.
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Alimentary Pharmacology Therapeutics
(2007)
2,
41
A Simple Risk-Adjusted Exponentially Weighted Moving Average
O Grigg, D Spiegelhalter
– Journal of the American Statistical Association
(2007)
102,
140
Bayesian approaches to random-effects meta-analysis: a comparative study.
TC Smith, DJ Spiegelhalter, A Thomas
– Statistics in Medicine
(2007)
14,
2685
A Simple Diagnostic Plot Connecting Robust Estimation, Outlier Detection, and False Discovery Rates
K Rice, D Spiegelhalter
– Journal of Applied Statistics
(2007)
33,
1131
Applying Bayesian ideas in drug development and clinical trials
DJ Spiegelhalter, LS Freedman, MK Parmar
– Statistics in Medicine
(2007)
12,
1501
Health economics and the search for shunt-responsive symptomatic hydrocephalus in the elderly
JD Pickard, D Spiegelhalter, M Czosnyka
– Journal of neurosurgery
(2006)
105,
811
The what, why and how of bayesian clinical trials monitoring
LS Freedman, DJ Spiegelhalter, MK Parmar
– Statistics in medicine
(2006)
13,
1371
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory