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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Fairness of financial penalties to improve control of Clostridium difficile.
AS Walker, D Spiegelhalter, DW Crook, D Wyllie, J Morris, TEA Peto
– The BMJ
(2008)
337,
a2097
An empirical approximation to the null unbounded steady-state distribution of the cumulative sum statistic
OA Grigg, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Technometrics
(2008)
50,
501
Components of variance in a multicentre functional MRI study and implications for calculation of statistical power
J Suckling, D Ohlssen, C Andrew, G Johnson, SCR Williams, M Graves, CH Chen, D Spiegelhalter, E Bullmore
– Human Brain Mapping
(2008)
29,
1111
Conflicting evidence in a Bayesian synthesis of surveillance data to estimate human immunodeficiency virus prevalence
AM Presanis, D De Angelis, DJ Spiegelhalter, S Seaman, A Goubar, AE Ades
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society
(2008)
171,
915
A re-evaluation of random-effects meta-analysis.
JPT Higgins, SG Thompson, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A Statistics in Society
(2008)
172,
137
Local and marginal control charts applied to methicillin resistant Staphylococcus aureus bacteraemia reports in UK acute National Health Service trusts
OA Grigg, DJ Spiegelhalter, HE Jones
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A Statistics in Society
(2008)
172,
49
How to interpret your dot: decoding the message of clinical performance indicators.
J Schulman, DJ Spiegelhalter, G Parry
– Journal of perinatology : official journal of the California Perinatal Association
(2008)
28,
588
Bias modelling in evidence synthesis
RM Turner, DJ Spiegelhalter, GCS Smith, SG Thompson
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society
(2008)
172,
21
Patients Prefer Pictures to Numbers to Express Cardiovascular Benefit From Treatment (vol 6, pg 196, 2008)
DJ Spiegelhalter
– The Annals of Family Medicine
(2008)
6,
372
Understanding uncertainty
DJ Spiegelhalter
– The Annals of Family Medicine
(2008)
6,
196
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory