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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Taking a calculated risk: predictive scoring systems in dyspepsia.
DJ Spiegelhalter, GP Crean, R Holden, RP Knill-Jones
– Scand J Gastroenterol Suppl
(2009)
22,
152
Statistical issues in Studies of Individual Response
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Scandinavian journal of gastroenterology. Supplement
(2009)
23,
40
Using routine intelligence to target inspection of healthcare providers in England.
M Bardsley, DJ Spiegelhalter, I Blunt, X Chitnis, A Roberts, S Bharania
– Quality & safety in health care
(2009)
18,
189
Accounting for regression-to-the-mean in tests for recent changes in institutional performance: analysis and power.
HE Jones, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Stat Med
(2009)
28,
1645
London Murders: A Predictable Pattern?
D Spiegelhalter, A Barnett
– Significance
(2009)
6,
5
Comment: Citation statistics
D Spiegelhalter, H Goldstein
– Statistical Science
(2009)
24,
21
Combining MCMC with ‘sequential’ PKPD modelling
D Lunn, N Best, D Spiegelhalter, G Graham, B Neuenschwander
– J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn
(2009)
36,
19
The value of clinical, biochemical, ultrasound and liver biopsy data in assessing patients with liver disease.
A Theodossi, D Spiegelhalter, B Portmann, AL Eddleston, R Williams
– Liver
(2008)
3,
315
Fairness of financial penalties to improve control of Clostridium difficile.
AS Walker, D Spiegelhalter, DW Crook, D Wyllie, J Morris, TEA Peto
– The BMJ
(2008)
337,
a2097
An empirical approximation to the null unbounded steady-state distribution of the cumulative sum statistic
OA Grigg, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Technometrics
(2008)
50,
501
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory