Research Interests: Foundations of probability and statistics; evidential reasoning; causal inference; graphical models; forecasting systems; DNA profiling.
Publications
The geometry of proper scoring rules
– Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics
(2006)
59,
77
(doi: 10.1007/s10463-006-0099-8)
Object-oriented Bayesian networks for complex forensic DNA profiling problems
– Forensic science international
(2006)
169,
195
Independence properties of directed markov fields
– Networks
(2006)
20,
491
(doi: 10.1002/net.3230200503)
Remarks on: "Paternity analysis in special fatherless cases without direct testing of alleged father" [Forensic Science International 146S (2004) S159-S161]
– Forensic Science International
(2006)
163,
158
Local model uncertainty and incomplete-data bias -: Discussion
– JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES B-STATISTICAL METHODOLOGY
(2005)
67,
495
Statistics on trial
– Significance. Statistics Making Sense
(2005)
2,
6
Game theory, maximum entropy, minimum discrepancy and robust Bayesian decision theory
– The Annals of Statistics
(2004)
32,
1367
(doi: 10.1214/009053604000000553)
A statistical treatment of biases affecting the estimation of mutation rates.
– Mutat Res
(2004)
547,
19
(doi: 10.1016/j.mrfmmm.2003.11.005)
Probability, causality and the empirical world: a Bayes-de Finetti-Popper-Borel synthesis
– Statistical Science. A Review Journal of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics
(2004)
19,
44
(doi: 10.1214/088342304000000125)
Probabilistic expert systems for DNA mixture profiling
– Theoretical Population Biology
(2003)
63,
191
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