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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Computers, Expert Systems, and ADRs: Can Causality Assessment Be Automated?
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Therapeutic Innovation & Regulatory Science
(2016)
20,
543
Computerized aids for probabilistic assessment of drug safety II: An expert system
TA Hutchinson, AP Dawid, DJ Spiegelhalter, RG Cowell, S Roden
– Therapeutic Innovation & Regulatory Science
(2016)
25,
41
Computerized Aids for Probabilistic Assessment of Drug Safety II: An Expert System
TA Hutchinson, AP Dawid, DJ Spiegelhalter, RG Cowell, S Roden
– Therapeutic Innovation Regulatory Science
(2016)
25,
41
How old are you, really? Communicating chronic risk through ‘effective age’ of your body and organs
D Spiegelhalter
– BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making
(2016)
16,
104
Cancer Drugs Fund requires further reform
R Grieve, K Abrams, K Claxton, B Goldacre, N James, J Nicholl, M Parmar, C Parker, JS Sekhon, L Smeeth, D Spiegelhalter, M Sculpher
– BMJ Online
(2016)
354,
i5090
Surgeon Volume and Cancer Esophagectomy, Gastrectomy, and Pancreatectomy
R Mamidanna, Z Ni, O Anderson, SD Spiegelhalter, A Bottle, P Aylin, O Faiz, GB Hanna
– Annals of surgery
(2016)
263,
727
Sex-rated statistics
D Spiegelhalter
– Significance
(2015)
12,
21
What Can Education Learn from Real-World Communication of Risk and Uncertainty?
D Spiegelhalter, J Gage
– Mathematics Enthusiast
(2015)
12,
4
The pros and cons of funnel plots as an aid to risk communication and patient decision making.
T Rakow, RJ Wright, DJ Spiegelhalter, C Bull
– British Journal of Psychology
(2015)
106,
327
Estimating the True Extent of Cognitive Decline in the Old Old
C Brayne, DJ Spiegelhalter, C Dufouil, LY Chi, TR Dening, ES Paykel, DW O'Connor, A Ahmed, MA McGee, FA Huppert
– Journal of the American Geriatrics Society
(2015)
47,
1283
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory