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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor David Spiegelhalter

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Implications for trials in progress of publication of positive results
A Fletcher, D Spiegelhalter, J Staessen, L Thijs, C Bulpitt
– Lancet
(1993)
342,
653
(doi: 10.1016/0140-6736(93)91762-B)
[Bayesian Analysis in Expert Systems]: Comment: Assessing the Science Behind Graphical Modelling Techniques
AP Dempster
– Statistical Science
(1993)
8,
247
(doi: 10.1214/ss/1177010889)
Bayesian Analysis in Expert Systems
DJ Spiegelhalter, AP Dawid, SL Lauritzen, RG Cowell
– Statistical Science
(1993)
8,
219
(doi: 10.1214/ss/1177010888)
BAYESIAN NETWORKS FOR THE ANALYSIS OF DRUG SAFETY
RG COWELL, AP DAWID, TA HUTCHINSON, S RODEN, DJ SPIEGELHALTER
– JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES D-THE STATISTICIAN
(1993)
42,
369
(link to publication)
DISCUSSION ON THE MEETING ON THE GIBBS SAMPLER AND OTHER MARKOV CHAIN-MONTE CARLO METHODS
P CLIFFORD, C JENNISON, J WAKEFIELD, D PHILLIPS, A FRIGESSI, AJ GRAY, A LAWSON, J FORSTER, P RAMGOPAL, O ARSLAN, PDL CONSTABLE, JT KENT, RCL WOLFF, EF HARDING, R MIDDLETON, PJ DIGGLE, RG AYKROYD, C BERZUINI, M BREWER, C AITKEN, G CELEUX, J DIEBOLT, F CRITCHLEY, P DIACONIS, JS ROSENTHAL, J DIEBOLT, CP ROBERT, AE GELFAND, TM LEE, A GELMAN, DB RUBIN, D GEMAN, J GEWEKE, CJ GEYER, A GIGLI, GH GIVENS, C GOODALL, GD JONALASINIO, AP GRIEVE, XL HAN, JE KOLASSA, MA TANNER, C KOOPERBERG, SM LEWIS, S LIN, EA THOMPSON, CD LITTON, CE BUCK, CH LIU, J LIU, KV MARDIA, JM MARRIOTT, J MOLLER, AE RAFTERY, N SHEPHARD, D SINHA, AD SOKAL, DM TITTERINGTON, JD WILSON, J YORK, D MADIGAN, AFM SMITH, GO ROBERTS, J BESAG, PJ GREEN, WR GILKS, DG CLAYTON, DJ SPIEGELHALTER
– J ROY STAT SOC B MET
(1993)
55,
53
(link to publication)
Sequential Model Criticism in Probabilistic Expert Systems
RG Cowell, AP Dawid, DJ Spiegelhalter
– IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence
(1993)
15,
209
(doi: 10.1109/34.204903)
MODELING COMPLEXITY - APPLICATIONS OF GIBBS SAMPLING IN MEDICINE
WR GILKS, DG CLAYTON, DJ SPIEGELHALTER, NG BEST, AJ MCNEIL, LD SHARPLES, AJ KIRBY
– J ROY STAT SOC B MET
(1993)
55,
39
(link to publication)
Tricuspid atresia presenting in infancy. Survival and suitability for the Fontan operation.
RC Franklin, DJ Spiegelhalter, ID Sullivan, RH Anderson, DG Thoele, EA Shinebourne, JE Deanfield
– Circulation
(1993)
87,
427
(doi: 10.1161/01.CIR.87.2.427)
Conservative Treatment of Mild/Moderate Cervical Dyskaryosis
AJ KIRBY, DJ SPIEGELHALTER, NE DAY, L FENTON, K SWANSON, EMF MANN, JE MACGBEGOR
– Obstetrical & Gynecological Survey
(1993)
48,
263
(doi: 10.1097/00006254-199304000-00016)
Risk stratification for open heart surgery [7]
DJ Spiegelhalter
– British Medical Journal
(1992)
305,
1500
(doi: 10.1136/bmj.305.6867.1500-a)
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory

Email

D.Spiegelhalter@statslab.cam.ac.uk

Personal homepage

https://www.dpmms.cam.ac.uk/~ds28/

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    About the University

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