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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Setting the minimal metrically detectable change on disability rating scales.
R Hébert, DJ Spiegelhalter, C Brayne
– Archives of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation
(1997)
78,
1305
Pharmacodynamics of cyclosporine in heart and heart-lung transplant recipients .2. Blood cyclosporine concentrations and other risk factors for lung allograft rejection
NG Best, KK Tan, AK Trull, DJ Spiegelhalter, S Stewart, J Wallwork
– Transplantation
(1996)
62,
1436
Pharmacodynamics of cyclosporine in heart and heart-lung transplant recipients. I: Blood cyclosporine concentrations and other risk factors for cardiac allograft rejection.
NG Best, AK Trull, KK Tan, DJ Spiegelhalter, N Cary, J Wallwork
– Transplantation
(1996)
62,
1429
Effects of an ambient air pollution intervention and environmental tobacco smoke on children's respiratory health in Hong Kong.
J Peters, AJ Hedley, CM Wong, TH Lam, SG Ong, J Liu, DJ Spiegelhalter
– International journal of epidemiology
(1996)
25,
821
Computation on Bayesian graphical models
DJ Spiegelhalter, A Thomas, NG Best
(1996)
407
Markov chain Monte Carlo in practice
(1996)
Inferences from multinomial data: Learning about a bag of marbles - Discussion
A OHagan, CAB Smith, C Jennison, GA Barnard, AN Bisson, N Wilson, C Palmer, D Spiegelhalter, N Best, AP Dawid, CJ Geyer, M Aitkin, MS Bartlett, PJ Brown, C Chatfield, FPA Coolen, DR Cox, S Geisser, M Golstein, IJ Good, F Hampel, JL Hutton, HE Kyburg, I Levi, DV Lindley, LR Pericchi, R Rotondi, T Seidenfeld, L Wasserman, S Walker
– JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES B-METHODOLOGICAL
(1996)
58,
34
Cholesterol, diastolic blood pressure, and stroke: 13,000 strokes in 450,000 people in 45 prospective cohorts. Prospective studies collaboration.
– The Lancet
(1995)
346,
1647
Blood cyclosporine concentrations and cytomegalovirus infection following heart transplantation.
NG Best, AK Trull, KK Tan, DJ Spiegelhalter, TG Wreghitt, J Wallwork
– Transplantation
(1995)
60,
689
Estimation of population pharmacokinetics using the Gibbs sampler.
NG Best, KK Tan, WR Gilks, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Biopharmaceutics
(1995)
23,
407
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory