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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Risk perceptions of COVID-19 around the world
S Dryhurst, CR Schneider, J Kerr, ALJ Freeman, G Recchia, AM van der Bles, D Spiegelhalter, S van der Linden
– Journal of Risk Research
(2020)
23,
994
Introducing The Art of Statistics: How to Learn from Data
D Spiegelhalter
– Numeracy
(2020)
13,
1
Hormone replacement therapy and the risk of breast cancer: How much should women worry about it?
M Climént-Palmer, D Spiegelhalter
– Post Reprod Health
(2019)
25,
175
The Met Office Weather Game: Investigating how different methods for presenting probabilistic weather forecasts influence decision-making
EM Stephens, DJ Spiegelhalter, K Mylne, M Harrison
– Geoscience Communication
(2019)
2,
101
Conducting fit-for-purpose food safety risk assessments.
Y Devos, KC Elliott, P Macdonald, K McComas, L Parrino, D Vrbos, T Robinson, D Spiegelhalter, B Gallani
– Efsa Journal
(2019)
17,
e170707
Communicating uncertainty about facts, numbers and science
AM van der Bles, S van der Linden, ALJ Freeman, J Mitchell, AB Galvao, L Zaval, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Royal Society open science
(2019)
6,
181870
The Art of Statistics Learning from Data
D Spiegelhalter
(2019)
Trust in numbers
DJ Spiegelhalter
(2019)
4
Quality-of-Life Assessment: Can We Keep It Simple?
DR Cox, R Fitzpatrick, AE Fletcher, SM Gore, DJ Spiegelhalter, DR Jones
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (Statistics in Society)
(2018)
155,
353
Bayesian Approaches to Randomized Trials
DJ Spiegelhalter, LS Freedman, MKB Parmar
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society)
(2018)
157,
357
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory