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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

The effects of communicating uncertainty on public trust in facts and numbers
AM van der Bles, SVD Linden, A Freeman, D Spiegelhalter
(2020)
Introducing <em>The Art of Statistics: How to Learn from Data</em>
D Spiegelhalter
– Numeracy
(2020)
13,
1
Risk perceptions of COVID-19 around the world
S Dryhurst, CR Schneider, J Kerr, ALJ Freeman, G Recchia, AM van der Bles, D Spiegelhalter, S van der Linden
– Journal of Risk Research
(2020)
23,
994
Hormone replacement therapy and the risk of breast cancer: How much should women worry about it?
M Climént-Palmer, D Spiegelhalter
– Post Reprod Health
(2019)
25,
175
The Met Office Weather Game: investigating how different methods for presenting probabilistic weather forecasts influence decision-making
EM Stephens, DJ Spiegelhalter, K Mylne, M Harrison
– Geoscience Communication
(2019)
2,
101
Conducting fit-for-purpose food safety risk assessments
Y Devos, KC Elliott, P Macdonald, K McComas, L Parrino, D Vrbos, T Robinson, D Spiegelhalter, B Gallani
– Efsa Journal
(2019)
17,
e170707
Communicating uncertainty about facts, numbers and science
AM van der Bles, S van der Linden, ALJ Freeman, J Mitchell, AB Galvao, L Zaval, DJ Spiegelhalter
– R Soc Open Sci
(2019)
6,
181870
The Art of Statistics Learning from Data
D Spiegelhalter
(2019)
Trust in numbers
DJ Spiegelhalter
(2019)
4
Bayesian Approaches to Randomized Trials
DJ Spiegelhalter, LS Freedman, MKB Parmar
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society)
(2018)
157,
357
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory