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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Bayesian random effects meta-analysis of trials with binary outcomes: Methods for the absolute risk difference and relative risk scales (multiple letters)
K O'Rourke, DG Altman
– Stat Med
(2005)
24,
2733
Bayesian random effects meta-analysis of trials with binary outcomes: methods for the absolute risk difference and relative risk scales - Reply
DJ Spiegelhalter, DE Warn, SG Thompson
– Statistics in Medicine
(2005)
24,
2743
Issues in data monitoring and interim analysis of trials
AM Grant, DG Altman, AB Babiker, MK Campbell, FJ Clemens, JH Darbyshire, DR Elbourne, SK McLeer, MKB Parmar, SJ Pocock, DJ Spiegelhalter, MR Sydes, AE Walker, SA Wallace
– Health Technology Assessment
(2005)
9,
On Wasps and Club Dinners
D Spiegelhalter
– Significance. Statistics Making Sense
(2004)
1,
183
Funnel plots for comparing institutional performance.
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Statistics in Medicine
(2004)
24,
1185
The ProActive trial protocol–a randomised controlled trial of the efficacy of a family-based, domiciliary intervention programme to increase physical activity among individuals at high risk of diabetes [ISRCTN61323766]
K Williams, AT Prevost, S Griffin, W Hardeman, W Hollingworth, D Spiegelhalter, S Sutton, U Ekelund, N Wareham, AL Kinmonth
– BMC Public Health
(2004)
4,
48
Bastardy in the UK
D Spiegelhalter
– Significance. Statistics Making Sense
(2004)
1,
134
Survival Models: Survival Analysis in Observational Studies
K Bull, DJ Spiegelhalter
(2004)
1,
107
The legacy of Bristol: Public disclosure of individual surgeons' results
B Keogh, D Spiegelhalter, A Bailey, J Roxburgh, P Magee, C Hilton
– BMJ (Clinical research ed.)
(2004)
329,
450
Infant wellbeing at 2 years of age in the Growth Restriction Intervention Trial (GRIT): multicentred randomised controlled trial
JG Thornton, J Hornbuckle, A Vail, DJ Spiegelhalter, M Levene, GRIT study group
– Lancet (London, England)
(2004)
364,
513
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory