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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Bayesian random effects meta-analysis of trials with binary outcomes: Methods for the absolute risk difference and relative risk scales (multiple letters)
K O'Rourke, DG Altman
– Stat Med
(2005)
24,
2733
Multiple-bias modelling for analysis of observational data - Discussion
J Copas, DR Jones, D Spiegelhalter, K Rice, B Armstrong, S Senn, J Carpenter, M Kenward, B De Stavola, D Nitsch, CR Muirhead, J Hodges, NT Longford, A Gelman, D Draper, P Gustafson, L McCandless, DB Rubin
– J ROY STAT SOC A STA
(2005)
168,
291
Bayesian random effects meta-analysis of trials with binary outcomes: methods for the absolute risk difference and relative risk scales - Reply
DJ Spiegelhalter, DE Warn, SG Thompson
– Statistics in Medicine
(2005)
24,
2743
On Wasps and Club Dinners
D Spiegelhalter
– Significance
(2004)
1,
183
Funnel plots for comparing institutional performance.
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Statistics in medicine
(2004)
24,
1185
The ProActivetrial protocol – a randomised controlled trial of the efficacy of a family-based, domiciliary intervention programme to increase physical activity among individuals at high risk of diabetes [ISRCTN61323766]
K Williams, AT Prevost, S Griffin, W Hardeman, W Hollingworth, D Spiegelhalter, S Sutton, U Ekelund, N Wareham, AL Kinmonth
– BMC Public Health
(2004)
4,
48
Bastardy in the UK
D Spiegelhalter
– Significance. Statistics Making Sense
(2004)
1,
134
Survival Models: Survival Analysis in Observational Studies
K Bull, DJ Spiegelhalter
(2004)
1,
107
The legacy of Bristol: Public disclosure of individual surgeons' results
B Keogh, D Spiegelhalter, A Bailey, J Roxburgh, P Magee, C Hilton
– BMJ (Clinical research ed.)
(2004)
329,
450
Infant wellbeing at 2 years of age in the Growth Restriction intervention Trial (GRIT): multicentred randomised controlled trial
JG Thornton, J Hornbuckle, A Vail, DJ Spiegelhalter, M Levene, GRIT study group
– Lancet (London, England)
(2004)
364,
513
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory