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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

The effects of communicating uncertainty on public trust in facts and numbers.
AM van der Bles, S van der Linden, ALJ Freeman, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of USA
(2020)
201913678
Hormone replacement therapy and the risk of breast cancer: How much should women worry about it?
M Climént-Palmer, D Spiegelhalter
– Post Reproductive Health
(2019)
25,
175
Conducting fit-for-purpose food safety risk assessments
Y Devos, KC Elliott, P Macdonald, K McComas, L Parrino, D Vrbos, T Robinson, D Spiegelhalter, B Gallani
– EFSA Journal
(2019)
17,
ARTN e170707
Communicating uncertainty about facts, numbers and science
AM van der Bles, S van der Linden, ALJ Freeman, J Mitchell, AB Galvao, L Zaval, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Royal Society open science
(2019)
6,
181870
Winners and losers: communicating the potential impacts of policies
C Brick, ALJ Freeman, S Wooding, WJ Skylark, TM Marteau, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Palgrave Communications
(2018)
4,
69
Communicating health risks in science publications: time for everyone to take responsibility.
ALJ Freeman, DJ Spiegelhalter
– BMC medicine
(2018)
16,
207
Winners and Losers: Communicating the Potential Impacts of Policies: Commentary on Zeller
C Brick, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Nicotine Tob Res
(2019)
21,
336
18 The effects of communicating uncertainty about facts and numbers
AMVD Bles, SVD Linden, A Freeman, D Spiegelhalter
– BMJ Evidence-Based Medicine
(2018)
23,
a9
Commentary on Piumatti et al. 2018.
D Spiegelhalter
– Journal of Public Health (United Kingdom)
(2018)
40,
312
Comparing comprehension and perception for alternative speed-of-ageing and standard hazard ratio formats
CL Heard, T Rakow, D Spiegelhalter
– Applied Cognitive Psychology
(2018)
32,
81
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Room

D2.06

Telephone

01223 337945