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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Shielding from covid-19 should be stratified by risk.
GD Smith, D Spiegelhalter
– The BMJ
(2020)
369,
m2063
Risk perceptions of COVID-19 around the world
S Dryhurst, CR Schneider, J Kerr, ALJ Freeman, G Recchia, AM van der Bles, D Spiegelhalter, S van der Linden
– Journal of Risk Research
(2020)
1
The effects of communicating uncertainty on public trust in facts and numbers.
AM van der Bles, S van der Linden, ALJ Freeman, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
(2020)
117,
7672
Hormone replacement therapy and the risk of breast cancer: How much should women worry about it?
M Climént-Palmer, D Spiegelhalter
– Post Reproductive Health
(2019)
25,
175
Conducting fit-for-purpose food safety risk assessments
Y Devos, KC Elliott, P Macdonald, K McComas, L Parrino, D Vrbos, T Robinson, D Spiegelhalter, B Gallani
– EFSA Journal
(2019)
17,
ARTN e170707
Communicating uncertainty about facts, numbers, and science
AM van der Bles, S van der Linden, ALJ Freeman, J Mitchell, AB Galvao, L Zaval, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Royal Society Open Science
(2019)
6,
181870
Winners and losers: communicating the potential impacts of policies
C Brick, ALJ Freeman, S Wooding, WJ Skylark, TM Marteau, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Palgrave Communications
(2018)
4,
69
Communicating health risks in science publications: time for everyone to take responsibility.
ALJ Freeman, DJ Spiegelhalter
– BMC Medicine
(2018)
16,
207
Winners and Losers: Communicating the Potential Impacts of Policies: Commentary on Zeller.
C Brick, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco
(2019)
21,
336
18 The effects of communicating uncertainty about facts and numbers
AMVD Bles, SVD Linden, A Freeman, D Spiegelhalter
– BMJ Evidence-Based Medicine
(2018)
23,
a9
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Room

D2.06

Telephone

01223 337945