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Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

The effects of quality of evidence communication on perception of public health information about COVID-19: two randomised controlled trials
CR Schneider, ALJ Freeman, D Spiegelhalter, S van der Linden
– PLoS ONE
(2021)
16,
e0259048
Expert elicitation on the relative importance of possible SARS-CoV-2 transmission routes and the effectiveness of mitigations
ALJ Freeman, S Parker, C Noakes, S Fitzgerald, A Smyth, R Macbeth, D Spiegelhalter, H Rutter
– BMJ Open
(2021)
11,
e050869
Redevelopment of the Predict: Breast Cancer website and recommendations for developing interfaces to support decisionā€making
GD Farmer, M Pearson, WJ Skylark, ALJ Freeman, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Cancer Med
(2021)
10,
5141
Factors associated with deaths due to COVID-19 versus other causes: population-based cohort analysis of UK primary care data and linked national death registrations within the OpenSAFELY platform.
K Bhaskaran, S Bacon, SJ Evans, CJ Bates, CT Rentsch, B MacKenna, L Tomlinson, AJ Walker, A Schultze, CE Morton, D Grint, A Mehrkar, RM Eggo, P Inglesby, IJ Douglas, HI McDonald, J Cockburn, EJ Williamson, D Evans, HJ Curtis, WJ Hulme, J Parry, F Hester, S Harper, D Spiegelhalter, L Smeeth, B Goldacre
– The Lancet regional health. Europe
(2021)
6,
100109
How well did experts and laypeople forecast the size of the COVID-19 pandemic?
G Recchia, ALJ Freeman, D Spiegelhalter
– PloS one
(2021)
16,
e0250935
Communicating personalized risks from COVID-19: Guidelines from an empirical study
ALJ Freeman, J Kerr, G Recchia, CR Schneider, ACE Lawrence, L Finikarides, G Luoni, S Dryhurst, D Spiegelhalter
– R Soc Open Sci
(2021)
8,
201721
Sound human, steer clear of jargon, and be prepared
K McConway, D Spiegelhalter
– Signif (Oxf)
(2021)
18,
32
COVID-19 risk perception: A longitudinal analysis of its predictors and associations with health protective behaviours in the United Kingdom
CR Schneider, S Dryhurst, J Kerr, ALJ Freeman, G Recchia, D Spiegelhalter, S van der Linden
– Journal of Risk Research
(2021)
24,
1
What is my covid risk?
S Finnikin, DJ Spiegelhalter
– BMJ (Clinical research ed.)
(2021)
372,
n637
The adverse effects of bisphosphonates in breast cancer: A systematic review and network meta-analysis
C Jackson, ALJ Freeman, Z Szlamka, DJ Spiegelhalter
– PLoS ONE
(2021)
16,
e0246441
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Room

D2.06

Telephone

01223 337945